Dallas puts road unbeaten run on line at Toronto

Soccer Betting Lines

07/23/2010 - Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FC Dallas has not lost on the road since April and puts its six-match road undefeated streak on the line Saturday at Toronto FC, which is one of three Major League Soccer teams still unbeaten at home.

FC Dallas (6-2-7) lost to Red Bull New York in mid-April, but has two wins and four draws in its last six road matches. Dallas won at Houston and Chivas USA, and has scored in every road game this season.

Coach Schellas Hyndman's club managed just eight points on the road last year, but already has 10 points away from home. Dallas doesn't have a magic formula, according to Hyndman, but the club does try to take the home side out of their "comfort zone."

"We go after teams and take away that home field [advantage], that comfort zone," Hyndman said. "It seems to be working."

"We know if we play our game in our system, teams are going to have to adjust to us if we stick to what we do well," Dallas defender Heath Pearce said. "I think we've implemented that well on the road."

Although Toronto (6-5-4) is unbeaten in eight home matches, Dallas has managed to get results in its previous visits to Toronto. Dallas is 1-1-1 at BMO Field in its history.

Dallas enters the match after an impressive 2-0 win over Real Salt Lake, which snapped the defending MLS Cup champions' 10-match undefeated streak. Brek Shea and Atiba Harris scored for Dallas.

Hyndman will be forced to make a minor change this week, as Bruno Guardo will likely make his second start of the season for the injured Dax McCarty.

"He's just a guy that we have a lot of confidence in and he knows the system well," McCarty said of Guarda. "He knows what Schellas wants out of him and he has the trust of everyone."

The Los Angeles Galaxy preserved their undefeated home mark with a 2-2 draw on Thursday against the San Jose Earthquakes, and Real Salt Lake is also unbeaten at home.

Toronto had its eight-match unbeaten streak snapped last weekend in a 2-1 loss to the Philadelphia Union, as Sebastian Le Toux converted a penalty in injury time.

TFC played England's Bolton on Wednesday, falling 4-3 on penalty kicks after a 1-1 tie. Toronto FC debuted its recent signing, Spanish striker Mista, against Bolton and he's set to make his MLS debut against Dallas. Mista, a Designated Player, assisted on Toronto's goal against Bolton.

Toronto is third in the Eastern Conference and Dallas is third in the Western Conference, making a result this weekend crucial as both teams enter the start half of their schedules.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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